- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NSPA | ESPN+
The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Phillies are 47-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 42-28 ATS.
Phillies vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 8-3, 2.17 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 7-2, 2.08 ERA
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | O 7 -105 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -115 | -135 |
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+16.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 22 games (+22.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+12.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 53 games (+20.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+20.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 52 games (+19.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games (+17.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+21.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 55 games (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-31 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 10.52% ROI).
- 47-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 12.11% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 2.27% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 42-28 against the Run Line (+21.35 Units / 26.36% ROI).
- 46-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 12.63% ROI
- 34-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 9.27% ROI
- 25-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -16.44% ROI
Orioles vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .375 (162 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .180 (161 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .128 (19-for-149) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .082 (15-for-183) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (68/98) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (62/97) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (387/596) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (392/596) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Phillies are 8-5 (.615) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Phillies are 7-14 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Phillies are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Phillies are 41-5 (.891) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-32 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .315 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .757 (907 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,776 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (907 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 95 extra-base hits out of 227 total hits (42%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .449 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .125 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies have won 56% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (5,710 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (207.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Orioles pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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