- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
- Pirates vs Rockies Over / Under today: 12.5 Runs
- Pirates / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Pirates are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 35-35 ATS.
Pirates vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-8, 4.88 ERA
Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +115 | O 12.5 -110 | -135 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | U 12.5 -110 | +110 |
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+23.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 37-33 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 1.48% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.03% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.72 Units / -6.16% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 35-35 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -8.11% ROI).
- 25-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.27% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.64% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -7.05% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (46 SO in 130 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .295 — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has walked 15 of 117 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 9% (10 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has struck out just 13% (19/149) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 3-11 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.
The Pirates are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Pirates are just 15-24 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 125-30 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 21-20 (.512) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-27 (.690) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 44-31 (.587) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 100-60 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 49 strikeouts in 120 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 177 strikeouts in 502 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (just 24%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,402 of 15,187 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 51% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (1276.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Pirates have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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