Rangers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 03, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
  • Watch this Wild Card game on ABC

The Texas Rangers (+130) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Tuesday, October 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Rangers vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 90-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 87-75 ATS.

Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -175O 7.5 -110+130
Rays -1.5 +145U 7.5 -110-155

Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Zach Eflin has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Carter 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Nate Lowe 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Rene Pinto 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Leody Taveras 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Carter 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Nate Lowe 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Rene Pinto 0.5 -115 0.5 -110
Leody Taveras 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Yandy Diaz 1.5 +170 1.5 -225

Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Carter 0.5 +360 0.5 -550
Nate Lowe 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Rene Pinto 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Leody Taveras 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Montgomery 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Tyler Glasnow 7.5 +100 7.5 -135
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 85 of their last 154 games (+21.92 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 154 games (+17.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 154 games (+17.83 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.51 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games at home (+20.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 162 games (+16.09 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 162 games (+11.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games at home (+11.02 Units / 12% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 88-74 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 7.13% ROI).

  • 90-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • 84-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 71-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.2 Units / -11.92% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 87-75 against the Run Line (+14.1 Units / 7.26% ROI).

  • 99-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 4.37% ROI
  • 89-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.5 Units / 7.54% ROI
  • 69-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.75 Units / -15.63% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rangers are 32-13 (.711) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers are just 75-51 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Rangers are just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Rays are just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Rays are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 72-3 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters are slugging .495 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .269 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .567 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters are slugging .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 250 of 2,883 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 134 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 823 of 11,924 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have not picked-off any runners from first base this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Gregory Jones (Rays): Hamstring, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Calvin Faucher (Rays): Bicep, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
  • Lucas Raley (Rays): Hand, D10
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , D15
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.