- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rays are 72-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 74-73 ATS.
Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-1, 2.80 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-3, 6.13 ERA
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+10.00 Units / 250% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 76-71 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.08% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.28% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 74-73 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).
- 84-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.07 Units / 5.82% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.65% ROI
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 83.1.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .328 (256 Total Bases / 780 ABs) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has an ERA of 2.79 (210.0 IP)since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .596 (839 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Cantillo has struck out 50% (10/20) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has a strikeout rate of 43% (10 SO in 23 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last start — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rays are 128-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are 60-4 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 54-26 (.675) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Guardians are 65-2 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Guardians are 75-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Guardians are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Guardians are 212-6 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .659 (4,250 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Rays hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .665 (2,739 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 275 of 4,211 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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