- The Reds are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Reds vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Diamondbacks TV Channel: ESPN+ | DBTV | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Reds are 17-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-22 ATS.
Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 1-2, 3.40 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-2, 4.16 ERA
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -105 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -120 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 32 games (+17.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+14.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 away games (+21.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 away games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 22-19 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 2.83% ROI).
- 17-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -19.78% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.85% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -6.61% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-22 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -8.94% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -13.84% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 5.82% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .550 (11 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Hunter Greene with runners on base this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — second Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 36% (26 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 37% (179 SO in 486 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (5/59) against Slade Cecconi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to April 21st — the longest active streak is 6.
Slade Cecconi has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 7 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 10% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (13-for-76) against Slade Cecconi this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 23-27 (.460) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 45-50 (.474) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 150-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-12 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Diamondbacks are 84-21 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Reds are batting just .190 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Reds hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .491 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .857 (509 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Diamondbacks are batting .308 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 89 strikeouts in 509 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .329 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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