- The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Reds are 18-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-23 ATS.
Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 2-4, 3.35 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-3, 4.54 ERA
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 33 games (+16.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+15.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 23-19 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 4.5% ROI).
- 18-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -17.38% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -5.14% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -4.26% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-23 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -10.67% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 7.83% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/26) against Andrew Abbott on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (41/128) against Andrew Abbott this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 72 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (31/228) against Andrew Abbott in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 31% (22/70) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 31% (22/70) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 3 of 100 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 199 batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 48-166 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 150-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are 84-21 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Diamondbacks are just 87-9 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .432 (817 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Reds hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Reds are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .488 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .569 (497 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .364 (512 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .852 (512 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
