- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Reds are 71-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 67-79 ATS.
Reds vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 8-6, 3.46 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5-4, 3.99 ERA
Reds vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +130 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -155 |
Reds vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rece Hinds has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 33 games (+20.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 31 games (+19.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+17.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Simeon Woods Richard has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Twins Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 83-65 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 4.97% ROI).
- 71-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.63% ROI
- 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.65% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 67-79 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -8.88% ROI).
- 78-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -3.42% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.13% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.8 Units / -9.86% ROI
Twins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez had a first-pitch strike rate of 96% (23/24) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 23 of 428 left-handed batters (5%) since last season — tied for 14th best among among 144 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 90th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 48% of the time (361/745) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (74/124) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 99 opportunities (2%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 93 opportunities (2%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 50 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 227 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .408 (20 GB hits out of 49 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 36-45 (.444) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Twins are 136-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 26-102 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 62-24 (.721) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Twins are 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .762 (3,703 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Twins hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Twins hitters are slugging .234 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Twins hitters have 2,840 strikeouts in 11,756 PA’s (24%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 369 of 4,188 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 80 of 1,304 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins pitchers have walked 377 of 5,449 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 64 double plays in 911 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Twins vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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