Rockies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

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Miami Marlins' Jesus Sanchez runs the bases after hitting a three run home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Tuesday, July 4, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 30, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Marlins are -140 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rockies / Marlins TV Channel: ROTV | BSFL

The Colorado Rockies (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Rockies are 7-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-21 ATS.

Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-2, 5.69 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-1, 7.21 ERA

Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -185O 8 -120+120
Marlins -1.5 +150U 8 +100-140

Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Nick Fortes has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+3.14 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-16 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 7-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -35.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -15.13% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 6.24% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-21 against the Run Line (-16.71 Units / -43.11% ROI).

  • 6-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -57.74% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -10.32% ROI

Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100

Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Gordon (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nick Gordon (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.375 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has thrown his slider 58% of the time (55/95) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .474 (18-for-38) against Ryan Feltner when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sixto Sanchez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (19/47) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (11/92) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 8% (3/38) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (5/50) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Rockies are just 50-14 (.781) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 46-22 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are just 108-29 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Marlins are just 30-56 (.349) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Marlins are just 57-15 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Marlins are just 24-124 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .262 (447 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .248 (409 PA’s) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 12% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 444.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
  • Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.