- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: ESPN
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Wednesday, October 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:38pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 87-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 87-76 ATS.
Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 16-9, 3.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 10-9, 3.60 ERA
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -115 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -105 | -150 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 159 games (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 153 games (+18.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 154 games (+16.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 148 games (+6.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 90-73 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 2.93% ROI).
- 87-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 2.01% ROI
- 69-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -16% ROI
- 89-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.4 Units / 6.87% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 87-76 against the Run Line (+16.3 Units / 8.24% ROI).
- 91-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 87-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.35 Units / 10.25% ROI
- 63-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.65 Units / -18.18% ROI
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has walked 13 of 288 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (141/680) against Seth Lugo this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 14th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (975/2,947) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 16 of 393 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 87th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (35/350 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 70% (857/1,226) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 8 of 350 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 25-106 (.191) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 21-65 (.244) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Royals are just 14-77 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals are just 68-67 (.504) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 63-49 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 36-29 (.554) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Orioles are 216-15 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Orioles are 36-10 (.783) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,003 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging just .248 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .511 (431 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .751 (4,517 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers this season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since last season is 403.5 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have walked 300 of 4,341 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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