- The Royals are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Royals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Royals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Royals are 68-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 69-54 ATS.
Royals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 8-8, 3.32 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 10-9, 3.60 ERA
Royals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -105 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -115 | -105 |
Royals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+21.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 37 games (+21.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 36 games (+28.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 119 games (+10.39 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+13.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 107 games (+9.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 69-54 against the Run Line (+6.79 Units / 4.09% ROI).
- 68-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 6.44% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -9.66% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.74% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 69-54 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 5.62% ROI).
- 60-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 56-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 62-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
Reds vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .183 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .297 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a just .268 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .495 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of just .232 (250 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .183 (43-for-235) against Brady Singer this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 96th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 25 of 216 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 15% (34/219) against Andrew Abbott when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (105/307) against Andrew Abbott this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (26/137) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Reds are just 31-35 (.470) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 835 strikeouts in 4,558 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 655 strikeouts in 3,532 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 180 strikeouts in 1,026 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters have 30 strikeouts in 84 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
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