Tigers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

min read
San Francisco Giants' Wilmer Flores (41) throws to first against the Los Angeles Dodgers during a baseball game in San Francisco, Friday, Sept. 29, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Giants are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Giants TV Channel: BSDT | NSBA

The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-185) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Tigers are 55-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 58-61 ATS.

Tigers vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 2-5, 5.66 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-1, 4.79 ERA

Tigers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 7.5 -105+150
Giants -1.5 +120U 7.5 -115-185

Tigers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+20.50 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+10.35 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 22 games (+44.40 Units / 202% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 101 games (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games at home (+11.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 61-57 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 55-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 61-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 4.79% ROI
  • 50-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -13.49% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 58-61 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.1% ROI).

  • 61-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -2% ROI
  • 62-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 54-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -11.01% ROI

Giants vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000

Giants vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Giants vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Keider Montero (DET) 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100

Keider Montero has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — 93rd Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed an OPS of just .195 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .483 — 94th Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 13rd — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 7.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hayden Birdsong has limited playing time.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Tigers are just 44-6 (.880) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .943.

The Tigers are 26-3 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .759.

The Tigers are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Tigers are just 27-40 (.403) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Giants are 9-47 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Giants are just 29-47 (.382) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (12,474 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,474 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,360 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Giants are batting just .248 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have 1,253 strikeouts in 5,082 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting just .227 with two outs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Tigers pitchers have walked 782 of 10,447 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 306 of 4,374 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 4 of 109 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 151 of 2,490 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.