- The Mariners are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- White Sox / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NSCH
The Chicago White Sox (+140) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-165) on Thursday, June 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the White Sox are 17-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 34-36 ATS.
White Sox vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-5, 3.33 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 5-7, 3.35 ERA
White Sox vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -160 | O 6.5 -110 | +140 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 6.5 -110 | -165 |
White Sox vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 32 games (+31.15 Units / 97% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Garrett Crochet has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+17.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.65 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 64% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+13.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 30-39 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -15.66% ROI).
- 17-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.95 Units / -40.48% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -4.84% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 34-36 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -5.88% ROI).
- 40-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 26-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -24.38% ROI
- 41-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +12 Units / 15.57% ROI
Mariners vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Mariners vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -160 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 41% (51 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .161 (19-for-118) against Garrett Crochet when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (113/233) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (113/233) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (42/93) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (128/383) against Luis Castillo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (12-for-37) against Luis Castillo on low fastballs this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 19th Percentile.
61% of Luis Castillo’s fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 95th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 5-29 (.147) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The White Sox are just 58-25 (.699) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The White Sox are just 14-7 (.667) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The White Sox are just 13-11 (.542) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .845.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 109-3 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 19-11 (.633) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Mariners are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Mariners are 98-16 (.860) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 15% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,952 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The White Sox have won just 25% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (4,464 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 925 of 8,949 batters (10%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 29 of 620 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 167 of 2,494 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (1062.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Mariners pitchers have walked 588 of 8,500 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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