- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Mariners
- Yankees vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Yankees / Mariners TV Channel: YES | RTNW | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-140) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+115) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Yankees are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-21 ATS.
Yankees vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-0, 1.05 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 4-1, 3.25 ERA
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | O 7 -105 | -140 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -145 | U 7 -115 | +115 |
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+13.85 Units / 173% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+19.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 99% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.02 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 28 games (+15.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 21-20 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 6.79% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.46% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.03 Units / -6.69% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-21 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -3.43% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 25-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 24.1% ROI
- 13-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.82 Units / -33.48% ROI
Mariners vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 6.5 +140 | 6.5 -190 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (360/629) against Max Fried since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (11/62) against Bryan Woo this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 69% (436/631) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 4% of left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 69% (436/631) this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 48-28 (.632) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Mariners (first best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Mariners are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 89-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 89-16 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .840 (1,614 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .214 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .263 (1,804 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Yankees vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
