Bucks vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks (52-20) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (35-37)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Friday, March 24, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Vivint Arena to take on the Utah Jazz on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Jazz Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 39-28 against the spread, while the Jazz are 40-32 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-8.5 -115O 236.5 -105-400
Utah Jazz +8.5 -105U 236.5 -105+300

Jazz vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 72.6% confidence.

Jazz vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Jazz, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 62 of their last 94 games (+26.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.23 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 82 games (+14.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.79 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.53 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 39-28 (+8.2 Units / 10.35% ROI).

  • 52-20 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 5.63% ROI)
  • 34-38 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -9.85% ROI)
  • 38-34 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 35-37 against the Moneyline (-12.85 Units / -10.68% ROI)
  • 41-29 against the Over for game total points (+9.1 Units / 11.49% ROI)
  • 29-41 against the Under for game total points (-16.1 Units / -20.33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 61 games (-27.40 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-26.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-26.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-25.46 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 80 games (-23.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 94 games (-36.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (-31.21 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.53 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 94 games (-23.26 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 41 away games (-19.90 Units / -44% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Jazz are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .140

The Jazz are 1-15 (.062) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Jazz are 23-31 (.426) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Jazz are 82-40 (.672) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Jazz vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Collin Sexton (Jazz): Sexton will be re-evaluated in another week, according to Eric Walden of The Salt Lake Tribune.
  • Johnny Juzang (Jazz): Juzang is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Milwaukee.
  • Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): Markkanen is OUT for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Milwaukee.
  • Rudy Gay (Jazz): Gay is OUT for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Milwaukee.
  • Jordan Clarkson (Jazz): Clarkson is OUT for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Milwaukee.
  • Meyers Leonard (Bucks): Leonard is out for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Utah.
  • Goran Dragic (Bucks): Dragic hasn’t played since Feb. 13 against Orlando and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Jae Crowder (Bucks): Crowder is out for Friday’s (Mar.24) game against Utah.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (1,751 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (823 assists/ 535 TOs) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz have averaged 1.31 points per shot (8,089 points/6,166 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,461 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,506 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have blocked 367 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Jazz have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,140 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.