Bucks vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2023, 10:06 AM
  • The Bucks (50-19) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns (37-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 14, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSAZ & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Suns Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 37-27 against the spread, while the Suns are 36-30 against the spread.


Bet now on Suns vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bucks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-1.5 -110O 231.5 -110-120
Phoenix Suns +1.5 -110U 231.5 -110+100

Suns vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 53.1% confidence.

Suns vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Suns vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+23.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 78 games (+18.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.38 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+15.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.64 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 95 games (+11.53 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 37-27 (+7.3 Units / 9.76% ROI).

  • 49-19 against the Moneyline (+16.05 Units / 9.3% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.01% ROI).

  • 37-31 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -1.49% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-24.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-20.48 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 94 games (-20.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 87 games (-20.00 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 92 games (-19.90 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 91 games (-33.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (-29.36 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.09 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 90 games (-23.61 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 away games (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Bucks are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 44-16 (.733) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Bucks are 70-6 (.921) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Suns vs. BucksTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated in a week, according to Gerald Bourguet of GoPHNX.com.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is expected to miss 2 to 3 weeks with a left ankle injury. (per Woj)
  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (144/338) in the last two weeks — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 57.8 points per game (12,827 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Bucks have made 14.9 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 39.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,716 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Bucks have averaged 39.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 39.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,866 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (998 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8


Bet now on Suns vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.