Bulls vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bulls (30-36) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (15-51)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & NBCS-CHI

The Chicago Bulls visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Bulls vs Rockets Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 31-34 against the spread, while the Rockets are 25-38 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls-8.5 -105O 224.5 -105-350
Houston Rockets +8.5 -115U 224.5 -105+260

Rockets vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Saturday‘s game with 67.8% confidence.

Rockets vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bulls and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 57 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.94 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.84 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 31-34 (-6.5 Units / -8.94% ROI).

  • 30-36 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -5.49% ROI)
  • 28-38 against the Over for game total points (-13.8 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 38-28 against the Under for game total points (+7.2 Units / 9.92% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 25-38 (-16.8 Units / -23.14% ROI).

  • 15-51 against the Moneyline (-20.7 Units / -30.29% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 82 games (-30.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.64 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-17.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-17.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 68 games (-16.92 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 75 games (-28.56 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.15 Units / -19% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Chicago Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Phoenix Suns have averaged 44.4 rebounds per game (2,664 rebounds/60 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are 3-23 (.115) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158

The Bulls are 4-35 (.103) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156

The Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Rockets are 3-18 (.143) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Rockets are 21-77 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 4-38 (.095) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Rockets are 6-26 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Rockets vs. BullsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. is probable for Saturday’s (Mar.11) game against Chicago.
  • Justin Lewis (Bulls): Lewis tore his ACL in an offseason workout. He is out indefinitely.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green continues to progress in his rehabilitation. There is currently no timetable for his return and his status will be updated in approximately two weeks.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (309 points/59 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (284 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bulls have averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Bulls have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (645 points/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,464 assists/ 1,620 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,396 assists/ 985 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,630 assists/ 1,121 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,659 assists/ 1,178 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (909 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bulls have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,511 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (297 blocks/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,115 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,721 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Rockets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (506 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.