Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers (31-34) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies (38-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 7, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Lakers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 30-31 against the spread, while the Lakers are 31-32 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies-1.5 -105O 224.5 -110-120
Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 -115U 224.5 -110+100

Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.

Lakers vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 79 games (+21.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 60 of their last 91 games (+19.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 86 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 91 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.48 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 53 games (+20.98 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+15.17 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 64 games (+13.66 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 30-31 (-4.1 Units / -5.92% ROI).

  • 38-25 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -1.73% ROI)
  • 26-34 against the Over for game total points (-11.4 Units / -16.45% ROI)
  • 34-26 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 7.79% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 31-32 (-4.25 Units / -5.94% ROI).

  • 31-34 against the Moneyline (+5.25 Units / 6.36% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-19.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 29 games (-17.10 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-15.86 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-13.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 83 games (-10.40 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 91 games (-39.34 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.39 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 67 games (-29.89 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 43 away games (-25.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 games (-22.93 Units / -41% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Memphis Grizzlies are 3-12 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets has shot 39% from three (742/1,882) this season — best among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (856 turnovers/60 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 59-23 (.720) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,991 turnovers/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 40-21 (.656) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Lakers are 16-18 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Lakers are 27-37 (.422) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Lakers are 26-49 (.347) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Lakers are 19-32 (.373) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

Injury Report: Lakers vs. GrizzliesTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 7

  • LeBron James (Lakers): The Lakers announced that James sustained a right foot tendon injury and will be re-evaluated in about three weeks.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against Memphis.
  • D’Angelo Russell (Lakers): Russell is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against Memphis.
  • Mo Bamba (Lakers): Bamba is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against Memphis.
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against LA Lakers.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams hasn’t played since Jan. 22 and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Ja Morant (Grizzlies): Morant is currently not with the team.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against LA Lakers.

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (6,006 points/212 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 17.0 second chance points per game (1,798 points/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 60.0 points in the paint per game (4,200 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (223 assists/ 105 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (1,008 points/60 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers are shooting 48% (2,584/5,377) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.4 steals per game (655 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,939 steals/212 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,284 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (479 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,144 rebounds/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,460 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Lakers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (392 steals/60 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have blocked 1,089 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.