- The Heat (44-38) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (41-41)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on TNT
The Atlanta Hawks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Hawks vs Heat Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
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Hawks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Atlanta Hawks | +5.5 -115 | O 227.5 -110 | +180 |
| Miami Heat | -5.5 -105 | U 227.5 -110 | -225 |
Heat vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.6% confidence.
Heat vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hawks are 29-16 (.644) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Hawks are 59-8 (.881) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776
The Hawks are 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Hawks are 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Heat are 64-26 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565
The Heat are 41-17 (.707) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Heat are 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Heat are 53-32 (.624) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
Injury Report: Heat vs. Hawks – Tuesday‘s Game, Apr. 11
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against Atlanta.
- Max Strus (Heat): Strus is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against Atlanta.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic hasn’t played since Dec. 26 against Minnesota and remains without a timetable to return.
- Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (2,032 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Hawks have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (1,493 turnovers/236 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Hawks have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Hawks have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (999 turnovers/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Heat have averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat have averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat have averaged 1.28 points per shot (8,977 points/6,991 shots) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,670 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hawks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (525 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,167 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (547 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (394 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (508 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (249 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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