Heat vs Nets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nets (33-24) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat (32-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Wednesday, February 15, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on YES & BSSUN

The Miami Heat visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Brooklyn.

The Nets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Nets Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 22-34 against the spread, while the Nets are 30-27 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+1.5 -115O 211.5 -110-105
Brooklyn Nets -1.5 -105U 211.5 -110-115

Nets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

Nets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Nets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.49 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.81 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.74 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.31 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.68 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 81 games (+9.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-34 (-15.4 Units / -24.14% ROI).

  • 32-26 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -10.69% ROI)
  • 25-32 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -15.99% ROI)
  • 32-25 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 7.05% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 30-27 (+0.25 Units / 0.4% ROI).

  • 33-24 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -0.65% ROI)
  • 26-30 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units / -11.16% ROI)
  • 30-26 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.73 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 31 games at home (-20.06 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 52 games (-18.18 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-17.94 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 73 games (-14.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 61 games (-24.19 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 94 games (-22.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 99 games (-21.65 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-18.29 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 64 games (-17.80 Units / -25% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Miami Heat are 17-6 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin this season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 42.2 rebounds per game (2,321 rebounds/55 games) this season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Miami Heat are 53-14 (.791) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 43.2 rebounds per game (5,917 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Heat are 43-28 (.606) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Heat are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Nets are 39-8 (.830) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .769

The Nets are 66-17 (.795) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .724

The Nets are 7-34 (.171) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .226

The Nets are 64-29 (.688) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

Injury Report: Nets vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Brooklyn Nets – No Injuries Reported
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is out for Wednesday’s (Feb. 15) game against Brooklyn.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry will miss at least the next three games, according to Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is out for Wednesday’s (Feb. 15) game against Brooklyn.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Feb. 15) game against Brooklyn.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.8 points per game (2,796 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Heat have averaged 52.6 points per game (7,158 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

The Heat have averaged 108.5 points per game (5,859 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Nets are shooting 50% (347/695) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Nets are shooting 41% from three (349/846) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Nets are shooting 51% (1,183/2,335) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (157 blocks/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (200 blocks/67 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (708 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (357 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (360 blocks/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (808 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (603 blocks/102 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,420 steals/207 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.