- The Wizards (8-7) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat (7-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
- Friday, November 18, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington.
The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 3-12 against the spread, while the Wizards are 9-6 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +6.5 -110 | O 215.5 -110 | 195 |
Washington Wizards | -6.5 -110 | U 215.5 -110 | -250 |
Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.
Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games (+17.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+15.54 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+12.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 53 of their last 93 games (+12.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Wizards Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 76 games (+14.93 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+13.66 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 3-12 (-10.2 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- 7-8 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -20.27% ROI)
- 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI)
- 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 8-7 against the Moneyline (+0.85 Units / 4.34% ROI)
- 7-8 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI)
- 8-7 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Wizards, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 83 games (-27.20 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 83 games (-22.30 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-20.70 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.83 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.20 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 94 games (-30.06 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-27.16 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 98 games (-26.75 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-21.45 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 94 games (-19.54 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Injury Report: Wizards vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 18
- Delon Wright (Wizards): Wright is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a grade two strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is out for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is out for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Washington.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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