Jazz vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 31, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (53-24) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (36-40)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, March 31, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & SportsNet RM

The Utah Jazz visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Jazz vs Celtics Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 42-34 against the spread, while the Celtics are 41-35 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+9.5 -105O 228.5 -115+375
Boston Celtics -9.5 -115U 228.5 -115-500

Celtics vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 76.3% confidence.

Celtics vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+14.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.59 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 82 games (+31.24 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.39 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.31 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 58 of their last 99 games (+13.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 42-34 (+4.6 Units / 5.5% ROI).

  • 36-40 against the Moneyline (-14.85 Units / -11.91% ROI)
  • 43-30 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 11.96% ROI)
  • 30-43 against the Under for game total points (-17.3 Units / -20.69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 41-35 (+2.5 Units / 2.96% ROI).

  • 53-24 against the Moneyline (-25.85 Units / -9.76% ROI)
  • 40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -0.83% ROI)
  • 37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -8.26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 86 games (-41.88 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (-35.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 98 games (-26.03 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.56 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-18.17 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-28.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 58 games (-25.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (-25.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 65 games (-24.23 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-23.30 Units / -26% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Jazz are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .140

The Jazz are 1-15 (.062) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Jazz are 23-31 (.426) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Jazz are 82-40 (.672) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Injury Report: Celtics vs. JazzFriday‘s Game, Mar. 31

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Pritchard is out for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against Milwaukee.
  • Collin Sexton (Jazz): Sexton will be re-evaluated in another week, according to Eric Walden of The Salt Lake Tribune.
  • Kelly Olynyk (Jazz): Olynyk is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Boston.
  • Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): Markkanen is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Boston.
  • Rudy Gay (Jazz): Gay is out for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Boston.
  • Jordan Clarkson (Jazz): Clarkson hasn’t played since Mar. 5 against Oklahoma City and remains without a timetable to return.

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (1,751 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (823 assists/ 535 TOs) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz have averaged 1.31 points per shot (8,089 points/6,166 shots) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,461 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,506 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have blocked 367 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Jazz have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,140 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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