Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Jazz (19-17) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (17-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & SportsNet RM

The Utah Jazz visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Jazz vs Warriors Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 20-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 15-19 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz-5.5 -105O 232.5 -110-190
Golden State Warriors +5.5 -115U 232.5 -110+155

Warriors vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+16.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.96 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.13 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 30 games at home (+18.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+16.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+15.96 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 20-16 (+2.4 Units / 6.05% ROI).

  • 19-17 against the Moneyline (-0.15 Units / -0.27% ROI)
  • 19-16 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 16-19 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 15-19 (-5.9 Units / -15.32% ROI).

  • 17-18 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -18.27% ROI)
  • 20-15 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 15-20 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-29.17 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.09 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-26.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-21.05 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (-19.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 89 games (-41.08 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-30.80 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 46 away games (-29.98 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 91 games (-27.64 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 55 games (-24.10 Units / -39% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are 24-8 (.750) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Jazz are 52-8 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .731

The Jazz are 56-21 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Jazz are 91-27 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. JazzWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins did not play in Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Charlotte.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): The Warriors placed Green in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Curry is making progress and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Kelly Olynyk (Jazz): Olynyk is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against Golden State.

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have made 15.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (72 assists/ 27 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Jazz have made 14.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Jazz have averaged 117.5 points per game (5,404 points/46 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.3

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,403 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Jazz have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,112 rebounds/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 steals per game (119 steals/15 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (851 blocks/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.