Kings vs Nets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nets (39-30) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings (41-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on YES & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Brooklyn.

The Nets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Nets Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 38-30 against the spread, while the Nets are 38-31 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+3.5 -115O 237.5 -115+125
Brooklyn Nets -3.5 -105U 237.5 -115-155

Nets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nets will win Thursday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.

Nets vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Nets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+16.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 away games (+14.72 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.53 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.11 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.39 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 38-30 (+5 Units / 6.68% ROI).

  • 41-27 against the Moneyline (+6.55 Units / 5.42% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 38-31 (+3.85 Units / 5.07% ROI).

  • 39-30 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 3.64% ROI)
  • 31-37 against the Over for game total points (-9.7 Units / -12.78% ROI)
  • 37-31 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 3.82% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.58 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 34 games at home (-21.82 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 64 games (-19.46 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-19.02 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 56 games (-17.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-24.57 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-21.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.96 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 49 games (-18.42 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (-16.58 Units / -18% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nets are 53-47 (.530) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Nets are 24-29 (.453) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Nets are 68-18 (.791) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .721

The Nets are 69-26 (.726) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Injury Report: Nets vs. KingsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Ben Simmons (Nets): Simmons hasn’t played since Feb. 15 against Miami and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Richaun Holmes (Kings): Holmes is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar 15) game against Chicago.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (835 rebounds/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Nets are shooting 39% from three (1,496/3,863) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nets have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (394 points/37 games) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Nets have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (322 points/31 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (430 blocks/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (878 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,250 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (632 blocks/108 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.