Kings vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings (29-22) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (27-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Pelicans Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 28-23 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 25-28 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-1.5 -115O 226.5 -110-130
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -105U 226.5 -110+110

Pelicans vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Sunday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

Pelicans vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 79 games (+21.31 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.58 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 away games (+11.24 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 89 games (+13.78 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.81 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.81 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 28-23 (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI).

  • 29-22 against the Moneyline (-0.25 Units / -0.28% ROI)
  • 22-29 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -17.65% ROI)
  • 29-22 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-28 (-5.8 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 27-27 against the Moneyline (-7.8 Units / -8.23% ROI)
  • 30-24 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 24-30 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-25.01 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 48 games (-24.59 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-19.66 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games at home (-18.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 79 games (-32.18 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.48 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.86 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 58 games (-16.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.02 Units / -21% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are 18-10 (.643) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Kings are 10-45 (.182) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Kings are 14-54 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Kings are 14-31 (.311) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320

The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. KingsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans): Valanciunas left Saturday’s (Feb. 4) game against the Lakers and was ruled out.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
  • Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Pelicans coach Willie Green said that Daniels will be out for a little bit of time, according to Erin Summers of Bally Sports New Orleans.
  • De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is out for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against New Orleans.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 51% (302/595) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,400 points/3,946 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings have averaged 120.0 points per game (5,400 points/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

The Kings have averaged 58.5 points per game (2,631 points/45 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 6.6 steals per game (298 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (886 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (466 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.