Kings vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (37-29) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings (39-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSAZ & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Suns Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 36-29 against the spread, while the Suns are 36-28 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+4.5 -115O 240.5 -105+140
Phoenix Suns -4.5 -105U 240.5 -105-165

Suns vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.

Suns vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+14.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+12.93 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.68 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+18.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.91 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 93 games (+13.77 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 36-29 (+4.1 Units / 5.73% ROI).

  • 39-26 against the Moneyline (+5.15 Units / 4.37% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 36-28 (+5.2 Units / 7.16% ROI).

  • 37-29 against the Moneyline (+0.4 Units / 0.28% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-26.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-21.14 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-19.84 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-18.27 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 92 games (-18.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-24.97 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 72 games (-20.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.94 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 63 games (-17.42 Units / -20% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231

The Kings are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

The Kings are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753

The Kings are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Phoenix Suns are 63-12 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,994 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Suns are 37-9 (.804) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 46-16 (.742) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Injury Report: Suns vs. KingsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is expected to miss 2 to 3 weeks with a left ankle injury. (per Woj)
  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 120.8 points per game (7,009 points/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Kings are shooting 51% (390/767) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,860 assists/ 903 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,801 assists/ 2,674 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,766 assists/ 1,334 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,918 assists/ 1,335 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (194 blocks/58 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (563 blocks/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (289 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (999 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (364 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have blocked 308 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have 1,126 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (303 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.