Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (35-15) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (23-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Celtics Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 23-24 against the spread, while the Celtics are 25-24 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+8.5 -110O 233.5 -110+260
Boston Celtics -8.5 -110U 233.5 -110-350

Celtics vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 68.2% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 37 games (+20.14 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+19.94 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+19.76 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 away games (+17.51 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.23 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 55 games (+23.41 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 92 games (+16.99 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 88 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 86 games (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 23-24 (-3.45 Units / -6.39% ROI).

  • 23-26 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 7.08% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-24 (-1.4 Units / -2.55% ROI).

  • 35-15 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -7.54% ROI)
  • 24-26 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.36% ROI)
  • 26-24 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-33.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 92 games (-29.63 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (-24.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (-22.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 95 games (-20.25 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 43 away games (-23.55 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 80 games (-22.91 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 43 away games (-19.30 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 away games (-15.80 Units / -33% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Los Angeles Lakers are 6-23 (.207) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The LA Clippers has shot 37% from three (1,657/4,430) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams.

The Lakers are 18-29 (.383) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Lakers are 3-30 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .230

The Lakers are 10-15 (.400) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .527

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Boston Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (671 turnovers/46 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 42-17 (.712) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (1,803 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 15-3 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Celtics are 33-3 (.917) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Injury Report: Celtics vs. LakersSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart announced that he hopes to return in a week or two, but there is no timetable for his return.
  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Reaves will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with a left hamstring strain.
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): Walker IV is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Boston.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Boston.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Boston.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (159 assists/ 69 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (4,915 assists/ 2,837 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game (7,887 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (677 assists/ 297 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Celtics have averaged 118.5 points per game (5,571 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,674 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Lakers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,990 rebounds/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Lakers have blocked 648 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (358 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 steals per game (306 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,640 rebounds/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (732 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Celtics have averaged 7.0 steals per game (897 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.