Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2023, 10:05 AM
  • The Pelicans (33-36) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (34-35)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 14, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & SportsNet LA

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Lakers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 33-33 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 31-36 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+1.5 -120O 226.5 -105-110
New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 +100U 226.5 -105-110

Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.

Pelicans vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 56 games (+21.93 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.99 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+14.68 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.83 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 60 games (+22.03 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 28 games (+17.44 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 26 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 33-33 (-3.35 Units / -4.48% ROI).

  • 33-35 against the Moneyline (+6.05 Units / 7.04% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.88% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 31-36 (-8.6 Units / -11.51% ROI).

  • 33-35 against the Moneyline (-10.15 Units / -9.18% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 62 games (-30.18 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 59 games (-22.14 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-20.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.33 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-14.26 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 away games (-14.22 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 32 games (-14.10 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 44 away games (-13.60 Units / -27% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-22 (.290) when losing the rebounding margin this season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,528 rebounds/68 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Lakers are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Lakers are 31-66 (.320) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350

The Lakers are 7-27 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. LakersTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against LA Lakers.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will miss at least two more weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): The Lakers announced that James sustained a right foot tendon injury and will be re-evaluated in about three weeks.
  • Mo Bamba (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Bamba has a high left ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against New Orleans.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (261 assists/ 126 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.5

The Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game (7,887 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,590 rebounds/68 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,609 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,261 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,123 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.