Nets vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (45-18) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Nets (34-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Friday, March 3, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & YES

The Brooklyn Nets visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Nets vs Celtics Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 32-30 against the spread, while the Celtics are 33-29 against the spread.


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Nets vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brooklyn Nets+11.5 -115O 227.5 -110+425
Boston Celtics -11.5 -105U 227.5 -110-600

Celtics vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 73.8% confidence.

Celtics vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nets and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.43 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 away games (+8.99 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.74 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 68 games (+27.89 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.51 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.03 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 32-30 (-1.05 Units / -1.54% ROI).

  • 34-28 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -3.1% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 33-29 (+1.1 Units / 1.59% ROI).

  • 45-18 against the Moneyline (-9.65 Units / -4.66% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 72 games (-36.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.92 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 98 games (-22.79 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-22.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 52 of their last 98 games (-21.36 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.19 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 57 games (-21.02 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 26 away games (-17.30 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.78 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 18 games (-16.57 Units / -80% ROI)

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Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Nets are 64-32 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Nets are 7-35 (.167) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Nets are 6-12 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Nets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .769

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Boston Celtics are 28-5 (.848) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 40.0 rebounds per game (2,360 rebounds/59 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 67-16 (.807) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (6,000 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

Injury Report: Celtics vs. NetsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Edmond Sumner (Nets): The Nets have listed Sumner as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Celtics.
  • Ben Simmons (Nets): The Nets have listed Simmons as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Celtics.
  • Yuta Watanabe (Nets): The Nets have listed Watanabe as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Celtics.

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Nets are shooting 50% (373/740) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Nets have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Nets are shooting 50% (1,298/2,593) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have averaged 1.8 second chance points per game (85 points/47 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Celtics have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Celtics have a 25% free throw rate (1,311 free throw attempts/5,181 field goal attempts) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (383 blocks/59 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (831 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,002 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nets have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (411 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,082 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.2 steals per game (364 steals/59 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 steals per game (708 steals/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (794 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.