- The Bulls (29-35) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (28-36)
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 3:30pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSIN
The Indiana Pacers visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Chicago.
The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Pacers vs Bulls Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 34-30 against the spread, while the Bulls are 30-33 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Indiana Pacers | +5.5 -110 | O 226.5 -115 | +170 |
Chicago Bulls | -5.5 -110 | U 226.5 -115 | -210 |
Bulls vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Sunday‘s game with 65.2% confidence.
Bulls vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Bulls, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.68 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 59 games (+14.34 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 73 games (+19.09 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 34-30 (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 28-36 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 5.62% ROI)
- 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -10.51% ROI)
- 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI)
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 30-33 (-6.4 Units / -9.08% ROI).
- 29-35 against the Moneyline (-6.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)
- 27-37 against the Over for game total points (-13.7 Units / -19.46% ROI)
- 37-27 against the Under for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 73 games (-28.56 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-27.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.45 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.18 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 81 games (-42.30 Units / -47% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 81 games (-38.35 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 78 games (-25.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 51 games (-22.14 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-18.63 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Indiana Pacers are 25-43 (.368) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,937 turnovers/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Pacers are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276
The Pacers are 9-36 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306
The Pacers are 46-65 (.414) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Chicago Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Phoenix Suns have averaged 44.4 rebounds per game (2,664 rebounds/60 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.
The Bulls are 3-23 (.115) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158
The Bulls are 4-35 (.103) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156
The Bulls are 7-23 (.233) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325
Injury Report: Bulls vs. Pacers – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 5
- Javonte Green (Bulls): Green had surgery on his right knee in January and is not practicing yet, according to Joe Cowley of The Chicago Sun-Times. There is no timetable for his return.
- Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
- Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Chicago.
- Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
- Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Nesmith is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Chicago.
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (1,965 points/110 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Pacers have averaged 8.5 fast break points per game (546 points/64 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
The Pacers have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (565 points/31 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Pacers have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,210 points/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (309 points/59 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Bulls have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (284 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Bulls have averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (503 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5
The Bulls have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (645 points/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (644 blocks/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,295 blocks/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (378 blocks/64 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pacers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,565 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,020 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (909 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Bulls have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,511 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (297 blocks/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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