Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 06, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (11-13) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (6-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSDETX

The Detroit Pistons visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Heat Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 12-11 against the spread, while the Heat are 8-15 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+6.5 -105O 220.5 -110+200
Miami Heat -6.5 -115U 220.5 -110-250

Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 69.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 away games (+22.65 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+19.56 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 74 games (+18.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 74 games (+17.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.76 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+15.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 99 games (+12.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+11.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 12-11 (-0.1 Units / -0.36% ROI).

  • 6-19 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • 15-10 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 10-15 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 8-15 (-8.5 Units / -32.2% ROI).

  • 11-13 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -15.28% ROI)
  • 12-11 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • 11-12 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 97 games (-26.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-20.97 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-20.29 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 58 games (-19.48 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 82 games (-27.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.71 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-21.09 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.99 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Heat vs. PistonsTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 6

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham is out for Tuesday’s (Dec. 6) game and still does not have a timetable for his return.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Pistons coach Dwane Casey said Livers will miss some time.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.