Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (4-2) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (1-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 5-5 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 5-7 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+10.5 -110O 232.5 -115375
New Orleans Pelicans -10.5 -110U 232.5 -115-500

Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 74.6% confidence.

Pelicans vs Rockets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+15.77 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 away games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.06 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 away games (+9.12 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 72 games (+21.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 74 games (+21.51 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+18.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.36 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.13 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -3.79% ROI).

  • 2-10 against the Moneyline (-7.2 Units / -60% ROI)
  • 7-5 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 5-7 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • 6-6 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -23.56% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 74 games (-29.91 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 74 games (-29.05 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.38 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 83 games (-26.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.09 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 48 games (-25.20 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 77 games (-22.65 Units / -27% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Rockets are 3-28 (.097) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pelicans are 18-37 (.327) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pelicans are 5-18 (.217) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pelicans are 18-37 (.327) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 12

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Kira Lewis Jr. (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Lewis Jr. suffered a torn ACL and a grade 2 MCL sprain.
  • Bruno Fernando (Rockets): Fernando is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks, according to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets have listed Tate as OUT for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Pelicans.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (715 turnovers/94 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,479 turnovers/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,347 turnovers/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 49% (252/511) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pelicans have averaged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (149 rebounds/12 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,975 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,112 free throw attempts/7,530 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 31.4 defensive rebounds per game (377 rebounds/12 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,432 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,038 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have blocked 408 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (49 blocks/12 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (776 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (691 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have 98 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.