San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (27-13) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (13-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 11, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 20-21 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 20-18 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+13.5 -110O 238.5 -110+675
Memphis Grizzlies -13.5 -110U 238.5 -110-1100

Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 away games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 90 games (+26.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 87 games (+24.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 90 games (+24.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 37 games at home (+23.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 81 games (+19.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 20-21 (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI).

  • 13-28 against the Moneyline (+2.4 Units / 5.76% ROI)
  • 23-16 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 11.97% ROI)
  • 16-23 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -20.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 20-18 (+0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 27-13 against the Moneyline (+4.1 Units / 4.44% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 90 games (-39.27 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-24.98 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.67 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.07 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-21.28 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-24.44 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-20.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-19.47 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.70 Units / -18% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-42 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,263 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Spurs are 3-33 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Spurs are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Spurs are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke is OUT for Wednesday’s (Jan. 11) game against San Antonio.
  • Devin Vassell (Spurs): The Spurs announced that Vassell is out indefinitely as he recovers from left knee surgery.
  • Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan 11) game against Memphis.
  • Keita Bates-Diop (Spurs): Bates-Diop is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan 11) game against Memphis.

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,185 assists/ 964 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,314 assists/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.9 points in the paint per game (5,026 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

The Spurs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (465 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (831 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (220 blocks/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (430 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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