San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Knicks (20-18) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (12-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on MSG & BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Spurs vs Knicks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 16-21 against the spread, while the Knicks are 20-16 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+9.5 -115O 225.5 -110+310
New York Knicks -9.5 -105U 225.5 -110-400

Knicks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 33 away games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 away games (+13.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 36 away games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 74 games (+24.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+20.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 games (+17.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 16-21 (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI).

  • 12-25 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 11.75% ROI)
  • 21-15 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 11.06% ROI)
  • 15-21 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -19.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 20-16 (+2.45 Units / 5.87% ROI).

  • 20-18 against the Moneyline (-0.85 Units / -1.51% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-30.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 33 games at home (-19.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 38 games at home (-17.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games (-17.24 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 85 games (-29.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 85 games (-27.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.84 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 62 games (-19.57 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.20 Units / -19% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-42 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,263 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Spurs are 3-33 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Spurs are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Spurs are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The New York Knicks are 7-30 (.189) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 46.1 rebounds per game (4,472 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Knicks are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .255

The Knicks are 6-41 (.128) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .296

The Knicks are 15-29 (.341) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

Injury Report: Knicks vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 4

  • RJ Barrett (Knicks): Barrett is likely to miss “a week or so,” according to Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News.
  • Derrick Rose (Knicks): Rose is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against San Antonio.
  • Obi Toppin (Knicks): Toppin is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against San Antonio.
  • Devin Vassell (Spurs): Vassell is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against New York.
  • Keita Bates-Diop (Spurs): Bates-Diop is out for Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against New York.

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,185 assists/ 964 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,314 assists/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.9 points in the paint per game (5,026 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

The Spurs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks are shooting 42% (1,698/4,008) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Knicks have averaged 50.9 points per game (8,498 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.5

The Knicks are shooting 27% from three (55/206) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Knicks have averaged 1.18 points per shot (661 points/559 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (465 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (831 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (220 blocks/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (430 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,282 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Knicks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,163 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (449 rebounds/13 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Knicks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (589 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.