Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (34-37) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (19-52)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 21, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Pelicans Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 30-41 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 32-38 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+13.5 -110O 231.5 -110+600
New Orleans Pelicans -13.5 -110U 231.5 -110-900

Pelicans vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Tuesday‘s game with 74.7% confidence.

Pelicans vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 115% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.34 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 63 games (+25.03 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.24 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 30-41 (-15.1 Units / -19.33% ROI).

  • 19-52 against the Moneyline (-3.85 Units / -5.37% ROI)
  • 41-28 against the Over for game total points (+10.2 Units / 13.06% ROI)
  • 28-41 against the Under for game total points (-17.1 Units / -21.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 32-38 (-9.8 Units / -12.56% ROI).

  • 34-37 against the Moneyline (-12.6 Units / -10.83% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 65 games (-33.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 62 games (-24.42 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-22.19 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 71 games (-30.18 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 71 games (-25.42 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.69 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 46 games (-20.10 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-18.35 Units / -20% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Spurs are winless (0-30) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

The Spurs are 3-57 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

The Spurs are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Spurs are 4-56 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SpursTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will miss at least two more weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
  • Tre Jones (Spurs): Jones is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Orleans.
  • Devonte’ Graham (Spurs): Graham is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Oleans.
  • Zach Collins (Spurs): Collins is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Orleans.
  • Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Oleans.
  • Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Devin Vassell (Spurs): Vassell is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Orleans.
  • Charles Bassey (Spurs): Bassey is likely out for the rest of the season with a non-displaced fracture of his left patella, according to Tom Osborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
  • Doug McDermott (Spurs): McDermott is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against New Orleans.

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.11 points per shot (302 points/271 shots) in the second half in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (8,120 points/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Spurs have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (262 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,236 rebounds/67 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (571 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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