Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (20-15) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (14-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Wizards Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 19-16 against the spread, while the Wizards are 15-19 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-2.5 -110O 220.5 -110-135
Washington Wizards +2.5 -110U 220.5 -110+110

Wizards vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 62 of their last 97 games (+24.18 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 63 of their last 97 games (+17.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.34 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.58 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 42 games (+20.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+13.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.86 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 19-16 (+1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI).

  • 20-15 against the Moneyline (-11.45 Units / -12.25% ROI)
  • 17-17 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.42% ROI)
  • 17-17 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 15-19 (-5.95 Units / -15.43% ROI).

  • 14-21 against the Moneyline (-4.55 Units / -10.4% ROI)
  • 16-18 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -9.87% ROI)
  • 18-16 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.04% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-23.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games at home (-17.85 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-16.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-16.47 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (-36.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 97 games (-24.69 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 59 games (-22.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-19.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 97 games (-17.56 Units / -16% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Wizards vs. SunsWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28

  • Deni Avdija (Wizards): Avdija is available for Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Philadelphia.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): Booker has returned to Phoenix for further evaluation for his groin strain, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet did not play in Tuesday’s (Dec 27) game against Memphis.
  • Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne hasn’t played since Dec. 13 against Houston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.