Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 14, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (4-2) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Monday, November 14, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Celtics Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 8-5 against the spread, while the Celtics are 7-6 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+11.5 -105O 228.5 -110450
Boston Celtics -11.5 -115U 228.5 -110-650

Celtics vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 74.3% confidence.

Celtics vs Thunder Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games (+19.32 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 47 games (+16.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.48 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 64 of their last 99 games (+16.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games (+15.79 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 59 of their last 88 games (+15.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.58 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 8-5 (+2.55 Units / 17.89% ROI).

  • 6-7 against the Moneyline (+5.2 Units / 37.55% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.81% ROI).

  • 10-3 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 10.53% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-26.93 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.34 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 98 games (-21.52 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-16.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 63 games (-30.25 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 56 games (-21.11 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.53 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.60 Units / -19% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. ThunderMonday‘s Game, Nov. 14

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Celtics): Brogdon is out for Monday’s (Nov. 14) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Darius Bazley (Thunder): Bazley did not play in Sunday’s (Nov. 13) game against New York.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.