- The Thunder (8-11) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (4-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 11-8 against the spread, while the Rockets are 8-8 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -1.5 -115 | O 231.5 -110 | -130 |
Houston Rockets | +1.5 -105 | U 231.5 -110 | +110 |
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+19.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 62 games (+19.48 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (+15.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.29 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+9.81 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.87 Units / 10% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-8 (+2.25 Units / 10.79% ROI).
- 8-11 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 19.35% ROI)
- 14-5 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 40.67% ROI)
- 5-14 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- 4-14 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -37.22% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 54 games (-24.70 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.10 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-21.64 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Thunder, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 69 games (-31.75 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 62 games (-27.97 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 55 games (-22.70 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.00 Units / -40% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141
The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Thunder – Saturday‘s Game, Nov. 26
- Alperen Sengun (Rockets): Sengun did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Hawks.
- Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.
- Eric Gordon (Rockets): Gordon did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Hawks.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
- Mike Muscala (Thunder): Muscala will be re-evaluated in two weeks according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
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