Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 26

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (8-11) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (4-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 11-8 against the spread, while the Rockets are 8-8 against the spread.


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 -115O 231.5 -110-130
Houston Rockets +1.5 -105U 231.5 -110+110

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+19.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 62 games (+19.48 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (+15.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.29 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+9.81 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.87 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-8 (+2.25 Units / 10.79% ROI).

  • 8-11 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 19.35% ROI)
  • 14-5 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 40.67% ROI)
  • 5-14 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.04% ROI).

  • 4-14 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -37.22% ROI)
  • 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 54 games (-24.70 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-21.64 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 69 games (-31.75 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 62 games (-27.97 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 55 games (-22.70 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.00 Units / -40% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Rockets vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 26

  • Alperen Sengun (Rockets): Sengun did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Hawks.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.
  • Eric Gordon (Rockets): Gordon did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Hawks.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Mike Muscala (Thunder): Muscala will be re-evaluated in two weeks according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.