Thunder vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 36-42 against the spread.


Bet now on Warriors vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+8.5 -115O 242.5 -110+260
Golden State Warriors -8.5 -105U 242.5 -110-350

Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.

Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Warriors vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 76 games (+14.67 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.47 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+15.94 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.37 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 50 games at home (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-33 (+8.8 Units / 10.13% ROI).

  • 38-41 against the Moneyline (+12.3 Units / 11.28% ROI)
  • 44-34 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 7.59% ROI)
  • 34-44 against the Under for game total points (-14.4 Units / -16.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-42 (-10.2 Units / -11.74% ROI).

  • 41-38 against the Moneyline (-27.15 Units / -14.06% ROI)
  • 42-35 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 4.03% ROI)
  • 35-42 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -12.89% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-26.92 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-26.56 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 26 games (-25.65 Units / -66% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.63 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-22.63 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-28.92 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.02 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.96 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 65 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167

The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

Injury Report: Warriors vs. ThunderTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is expected to return to the team early this week, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Warriors vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.