- The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 36-42 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +8.5 -115 | O 242.5 -110 | +260 |
Golden State Warriors | -8.5 -105 | U 242.5 -110 | -350 |
Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.
Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 76 games (+14.67 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.47 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+15.94 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.37 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 50 games at home (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-33 (+8.8 Units / 10.13% ROI).
- 38-41 against the Moneyline (+12.3 Units / 11.28% ROI)
- 44-34 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 7.59% ROI)
- 34-44 against the Under for game total points (-14.4 Units / -16.57% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-42 (-10.2 Units / -11.74% ROI).
- 41-38 against the Moneyline (-27.15 Units / -14.06% ROI)
- 42-35 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 4.03% ROI)
- 35-42 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -12.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-26.92 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-26.56 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 26 games (-25.65 Units / -66% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.63 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-22.63 Units / -40% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-28.92 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.02 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.96 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 65 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167
The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Thunder – Tuesday‘s Game, Apr. 4
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is expected to return to the team early this week, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5
The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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