Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (22-10) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (16-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Friday, December 23, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Celtics Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-19 against the spread, while the Celtics are 17-14 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+10.5 -115O 229.5 -110+375
Boston Celtics -10.5 -105U 229.5 -110-500

Celtics vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 71.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+15.82 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 86 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 56 games (+12.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.63 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 97 games (+13.37 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 91 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 98 games (+10.53 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-19 (-7.9 Units / -22.41% ROI).

  • 16-16 against the Moneyline (-7.7 Units / -12% ROI)
  • 13-19 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI)
  • 19-13 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 17-14 (+1.6 Units / 4.56% ROI).

  • 22-10 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -11.24% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-26.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (-25.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.26 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 67 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 98 games (-19.99 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-27.36 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-24.91 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 54 games (-20.06 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 46 games (-19.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (-18.51 Units / -20% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Dec. 23

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart is questionable for Friday’s (Dec 23) game against Minnesota.
  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Boston.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is out for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Boston.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Boston.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.