- The Kings (37-25) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (33-32)
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Kings Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 31-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 34-28 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +5.5 -115 | O 237.5 -110 | +165 |
Sacramento Kings | -5.5 -105 | U 237.5 -110 | -200 |
Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 62.8% confidence.
Kings vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Kings vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+18.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games (+18.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.59 Units / 32% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.41 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.84 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+12.13 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.89 Units / 24% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.94% ROI).
- 33-32 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -7.71% ROI)
- 30-35 against the Over for game total points (-8.5 Units / -11.89% ROI)
- 35-30 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 34-28 (+3.2 Units / 4.69% ROI).
- 37-25 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 4.26% ROI)
- 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 79 games (-26.83 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.04 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 69 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 43 games (-18.14 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 60 games (-17.98 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-35.17 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.43 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (-18.05 Units / -12% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Sacramento Kings
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Timberwolves are 45-24 (.652) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Timberwolves are 26-53 (.329) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Timberwolves are 18-9 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Timberwolves are 10-57 (.149) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231
The Kings are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644
The Kings are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
The Kings are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
Injury Report: Kings vs. Timberwolves – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 4
- Richaun Holmes (Kings): The Kings have listed Holmes as out for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Clippers.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): The hope is that Towns is able to come back for the teams’ final 10-15 games of the season, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic. This timetable would put his possible return for mid-to-late March.
- Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves have listed Nowell as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Lakers.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 116.3 points per game (8,028 points/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (7,046 points/5,314 shots) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,552 assists/ 928 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 120.8 points per game (7,009 points/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Kings are shooting 51% (390/767) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%
The Kings have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,225 steals/143 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (339 blocks/61 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/215 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have 1,225 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (194 blocks/58 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (563 blocks/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (289 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (999 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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