Timberwolves vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings (37-25) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (33-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Kings Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 31-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 34-28 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+5.5 -115O 237.5 -110+165
Sacramento Kings -5.5 -105U 237.5 -110-200

Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 62.8% confidence.

Kings vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+18.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games (+18.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.59 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.41 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.84 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+12.13 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.89 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.94% ROI).

  • 33-32 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -7.71% ROI)
  • 30-35 against the Over for game total points (-8.5 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 35-30 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 34-28 (+3.2 Units / 4.69% ROI).

  • 37-25 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 4.26% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 79 games (-26.83 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.04 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 69 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 43 games (-18.14 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 60 games (-17.98 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-35.17 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.43 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (-18.05 Units / -12% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Timberwolves are 45-24 (.652) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Timberwolves are 26-53 (.329) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Timberwolves are 18-9 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are 10-57 (.149) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231

The Kings are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

The Kings are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753

The Kings are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Injury Report: Kings vs. TimberwolvesSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Richaun Holmes (Kings): The Kings have listed Holmes as out for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Clippers.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): The hope is that Towns is able to come back for the teams’ final 10-15 games of the season, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic. This timetable would put his possible return for mid-to-late March.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves have listed Nowell as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Lakers.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 116.3 points per game (8,028 points/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (7,046 points/5,314 shots) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,552 assists/ 928 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 120.8 points per game (7,009 points/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Kings are shooting 51% (390/767) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,225 steals/143 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (339 blocks/61 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/215 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have 1,225 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (194 blocks/58 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (563 blocks/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (289 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (999 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.