- The Suns (40-35) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (39-37)
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSAZ & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Suns Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 37-39 against the spread, while the Suns are 38-35 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +5.5 -115 | O 234.5 -115 | +165 |
Phoenix Suns | -5.5 -105 | U 234.5 -115 | -200 |
Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.3% confidence.
Suns vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 82 games (+20.53 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 away games (+18.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 82 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 away games (+16.61 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 away games (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.58 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.79 Units / 25% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-39 (-5.9 Units / -7.05% ROI).
- 39-37 against the Moneyline (-4.35 Units / -3.43% ROI)
- 37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)
- 39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 38-35 (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI).
- 40-35 against the Moneyline (-3.25 Units / -2.05% ROI)
- 38-35 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)
- 35-38 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.65 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 71 games (-24.14 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 94 games (-24.12 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.14 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-16.30 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 87 games (-42.79 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-31.19 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 44 away games (-22.45 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,990 turnovers/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Timberwolves are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .277
The Timberwolves are 12-58 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227
The Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.
The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
Injury Report: Suns vs. Timberwolves – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 29
- Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Minnesota.
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Phoenix.
- Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Edwards is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Phoenix.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Phoenix.
- Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Phoenix.
- Matt Ryan (Timberwolves): Ryan is out for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Phoenix.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,800 assists/ 1,087 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,049 points/70 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,928 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,245 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,296 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have 575 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
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