Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Feb. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (26-24) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (27-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Wednesday, February 1, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSN & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 24-25 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 25-28 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-3.5 -110O 238.5 -110-165
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 -110U 238.5 -110+140

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 94 games (+10.43 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+10.25 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.98 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 49 of their last 77 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+16.52 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (+15.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 24-25 (-3.5 Units / -6.36% ROI).

  • 26-24 against the Moneyline (-21.9 Units / -18.59% ROI)
  • 29-20 against the Over for game total points (+7 Units / 12.73% ROI)
  • 20-29 against the Under for game total points (-11.9 Units / -21.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-28 (-5.8 Units / -9.94% ROI).

  • 27-26 against the Moneyline (-10.3 Units / -10.71% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 64 games (-32.81 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-28.34 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-26.49 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 70 games (-19.55 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.27 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 100 games (-28.65 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-26.62 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 away games (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.13 Units / -22% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 25-18 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Warriors are 26-12 (.684) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Warriors are 50-9 (.847) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781

The Warriors are 63-26 (.708) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves are 11-16 (.407) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Timberwolves are 43-48 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves are 32-8 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 40-55 (.421) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 1

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Wednesday’s (Feb 1) game against Golden State.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is considered weeks away from returning, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.
  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is questionable for Wednesday’s (Feb 1) game against Golden State.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala hasn’t played since Jan. 13 against San Antonio and it’s unclear when he’ll return to the lineup.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 16.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6

The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,952 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,210 points/22 games) on the road this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 115.7 points per game (15,042 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,017 rebounds/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,050 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,527 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (181 blocks/47 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,755 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (259 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,117 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.