Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 03, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (23-13) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (17-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 3, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Wizards vs Bucks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 18-19 against the spread, while the Bucks are 18-16 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+7.5 -105O 230.5 -110+260
Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 -115U 230.5 -110-350

Bucks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.58 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 91 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.29 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.47 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 18-19 (-2.95 Units / -7.05% ROI).

  • 17-21 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -2.63% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -11.96% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 18-16 (+0.4 Units / 1.01% ROI).

  • 23-13 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (-34.24 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 92 games (-28.45 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 92 games (-27.12 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.57 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 59 games (-25.05 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 59 games (-24.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.92 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 27 games (-15.95 Units / -54% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Bucks vs. WizardsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 3

  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.
  • George Hill (Bucks): Hill is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.
  • Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.
  • Taj Gibson (Wizards): Gibson is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Milwaukee.
  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Milwaukee.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.