49ers vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 6

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(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2024, 12:02 PM
  • The 49ers are -3.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points
  • Watch this game on Amazon

The San Francisco 49ers (2-3-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (3-2-0) on Oct. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The 49ers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The 49ers vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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49ers vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
49ers-3.5 -10549 -110-185
Seahawks +3.5 -11549 -110+150

49ers vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

49ers vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 63.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for 49ers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best 49ers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kyle Juszczyk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs 49ers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jordan Mason (SF) +400
Kenneth Walker III (Sea) +600
Deebo Samuel (SF) +850

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs 49ers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jordan Mason (SF) -175
Kenneth Walker III (Sea) -120
Deebo Samuel (SF) +120
DK Metcalf (Sea) +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs 49ers

Player Name Over Under
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
George Kittle (SF) 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
DK Metcalf (SEA) 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 45.5 -115 45.5 -115
Kyle Juszczyk (SF) 7.5 -120 7.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs 49ers

Player Name Over Under
Brock Purdy (SF) 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
Deebo Samuel (SF) 13.5 -110 13.5 -120
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+3.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers art 2-3 (-1.2 Units / -22.22% ROI).

  • 49ers are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -38.75% ROI
  • 49ers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 49ers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -10.48% ROI
  • Seahawks are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers are winless (0-5) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The 49ers were winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The 49ers are 13-3 (.812) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 136.7 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 27 s since the 2023 season — T-highest in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

The Seahawks were 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Seahawks are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 run defenses since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .581.

The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.

The Seahawks were 2-8 (.200) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.

Additional Matchup Notes for San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 61.3% of pass attempts against a base front last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The 49ers pressured opposing QBs on 4.2% of pass attempts with a base front last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 59.5% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The 49ers pressured opposing QBs on 10.7% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have gone three and out on 5.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL. The 49ers have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 47.1% since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43.0% since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have run 18.7% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponent to run 16.0% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have run 20.7% offensive plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponent to run 19.2% of plays in the red zone this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats

The 49ers have targeted RBs 5% of the time (8 Pass Attempts/157 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The 49ers ran successful plays on 53% of rush attempts against a base front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The 49ers have completed passes for 20+ yards on 95 of their 648 total passing attempts (15%) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The 49ers averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (4,577 yards/491 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks have 6 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats

The 49ers defense allowed 11 broken tackles in Week 5 — most in NFL.

The 49ers defense allowed -0.56 epa per play with a light rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The 49ers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 50% with a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 10% of plays with a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.