- Based on preseason odds, the Arizona Cardinals are +300 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Arizona has finished last in the NFC West two years in a row.
- I predict Arizona’s postseason hopes come down to their defensive play.
Based on NFL odds and Cardinals playoff odds, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
The Cardinals, who didn’t see Kyler Murray return from injury until Week 10 last year, are +300 to make the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 25%.
Comparatively, Arizona is -375 to miss out on the playoffs for an implied probability of 78.9%.
Prediction: Will the Arizona Cardinals Make the Playoffs?
I lean toward the Cardinals making the playoffs. However, it’s largely because I believe there’s a better chance than these odds imply.
Arizona plays the second-easiest schedule in the division and is a positive regression candidate year over year. Last season, they finished 2-6 in games decided by seven or fewer points.
The key question with Arizona: Can their offense overcome a bad defense?
From Week 10 onward last year, Arizona ranked ninth in EPA per play offensively, but they ranked 30th in the corresponding defensive category.
Arizona Cardinals Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +300 | 25% |
| Week 2 | +375 | 21.1% |
| Week 3 | +270 | 27% |
| Week 4 | +250 | 28.6% |
| Week 5 | +425 | 19% |
| Week 6 | +210 | 32.3% |
| Week 7 | +325 | 23.5% |
| Week 8 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 9 | +190 | 34.5% |
| Week 10 | +130 | 43.5% |
| Week 11 | -120 | 54.5% |
| Week 12 | -135 | 57.4% |
| Week 13 | +125 | 44.4% |
| Week 14 | +160 | 38.5% |
| Week 15 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 16 | +550 | 15.4% |
NFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | -450 | 81.8% |
| Los Angeles Rams | -115 | 53.5% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +185 | 35.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +300 | 25% |
When Was the Last Time the Arizona Cardinals Won the Super Bowl?
Arizona is one of 12 NFL teams that have never won the Super Bowl.
Their lone appearance in the NFL championship game came all the way back in 2009, a loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Arizona Cardinals Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 2 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 3 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 4 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 5 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 6 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 7 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 8 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 9 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 10 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 11 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 12 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 13 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 14 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 15 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 16 | +15000 | 0.66% |
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