Broncos vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Seahawks are -6 point favorites vs the Broncos
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (0-0-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos+6 -11042 -110+200
Seahawks -6 -11042 -110-250

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 62.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Broncos vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 72% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Kenneth Walker III (Sea) +500
DK Metcalf (Sea) +850

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Josh Reynolds (DEN) 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
Javonte Williams (DEN) 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 49.5 -120 49.5 -110
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 44.5 -110 44.5 -120
DK Metcalf (SEA) 58.5 -115 58.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Bo Nix (DEN) 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Geno Smith (SEA) 9.5 -115 9.5 -120
Javonte Williams (DEN) 51.5 -110 51.5 -120
Kenneth Walker III (SEA) 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
  • The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Broncos went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 54.96% ROI
  • Broncos are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Seahawks went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 13.21% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Seahawks are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Broncos were 8-4 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Broncos were winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .263.

The Broncos were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Seahawks were 4-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed an average of 137.5 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks were undefeated (4-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .674.

The Seahawks were 4-3 (.571) after a win last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Seahawks were 2-8 (.200) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 58.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed successful plays on 56.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks were successful on 56.7% of plays they have run on play action passes last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed their opponents to be successful on 52.9% of plays on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks averaged -0.06 epa per play against tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed -0.06 epa per play with tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Broncos scored on 41.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed scores on 39.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Broncos ran successful plays on just 41.1% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks pressured opposing QBs on 36.2% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Broncos scored on 27.8% of their drives in late and close games last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed scores on 33.3% of opponent drives in close and late situations last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats

The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/511 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Broncos have started 13 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Broncos ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Broncos scored on 17% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats

The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.

The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Broncos defense allowed an average of 15.7 fantasy points per game to TEs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.8.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 19% of plays with a light rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in close and late situations since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.