Broncos vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

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(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:26 PM
  • The Seahawks are -6 point favorites vs the Broncos
  • Total (Over/Under): 42 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Denver Broncos (0-0-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Broncos vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Broncos vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Broncos+6 -11042 -110+200
Seahawks -6 -11042 -110-250

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 62.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Broncos vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.


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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 72% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Kenneth Walker III (Sea) +500
DK Metcalf (Sea) +850

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Josh Reynolds (DEN) 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
Javonte Williams (DEN) 15.5 -120 15.5 -110
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 49.5 -120 49.5 -110
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 44.5 -110 44.5 -120
DK Metcalf (SEA) 58.5 -115 58.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Broncos

Player Name Over Under
Bo Nix (DEN) 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Geno Smith (SEA) 9.5 -115 9.5 -120
Javonte Williams (DEN) 51.5 -110 51.5 -120
Kenneth Walker III (SEA) 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
  • The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Broncos have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Broncos went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Broncos are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 54.96% ROI
  • Broncos are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Broncos are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Seahawks went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 13.21% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Seahawks are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Broncos were 8-4 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Broncos were winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .263.

The Broncos were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos

The Seahawks were 4-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed an average of 137.5 rushing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks were undefeated (4-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .674.

The Seahawks were 4-3 (.571) after a win last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Seahawks were 2-8 (.200) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.

Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 58.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed successful plays on 56.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks were successful on 56.7% of plays they have run on play action passes last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed their opponents to be successful on 52.9% of plays on play action passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks averaged -0.06 epa per play against tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed -0.06 epa per play with tight coverage in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Broncos scored on 41.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed scores on 39.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Broncos ran successful plays on just 41.1% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks pressured opposing QBs on 36.2% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Broncos scored on 27.8% of their drives in late and close games last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed scores on 33.3% of opponent drives in close and late situations last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats

The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/511 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Broncos have started 13 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Broncos ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Broncos scored on 17% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats

The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.

The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Broncos defense allowed an average of 15.7 fantasy points per game to TEs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.8.

The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 19% of plays with a light rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in close and late situations since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.