Buccaneers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Buccaneers (6-8) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals (4-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (4-10) on Dec. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Glendale.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Cardinals vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buccaneers-7.5 -11040.5 -110-375
Cardinals +7.5 -11040.5 -110+300

Buccaneers vs. Cardinals Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 16 game with 67.5% confidence.

Buccaneers vs Cardinals Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 16 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Cardinals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cameron Brate has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Julio Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • A.J. Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 47% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Buccaneers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Rachaad White +550
Leonard Fournette +600
Mike Evans +650
Chris Godwin +800
James Conner +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Buccaneers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Rachaad White -110
Mike Evans +110
Leonard Fournette +125
James Conner +130
DeAndre Hopkins +145

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cardinals vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Leonard Fournette 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
Chris Godwin 66.5 -120 66.5 -115
Mike Evans 58.5 -110 58.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cardinals vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Leonard Fournette 39.5 -110 39.5 -120
James Conner 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Rachaad White 49.5 -110 49.5 -120
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-10 (-8.2 Units / -52.56% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -40.89% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals have gone 6-8 (-2.85 Units / -18.51% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -33.77% ROI
  • Cardinals are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 16.23% ROI
  • Cardinals are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -24.68% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.

The Buccaneers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.

The Buccaneers are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .362.

The Buccaneers were 5-2 (.714) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Cardinals are winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Cardinals are 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .439.

The Cardinals are 4-11 (.267) at home since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .528.

The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .362.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals ran successful plays on just 35.0% of rush attempts last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 26.3% of rush attempts in Week 14 — second-best in NFL.

The Cardinals went three and out on 46.2% of their drives last week — second-worst in NFL. Buccaneers forced three and outs on 33.3% of opponent drives in Week 14 — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have thrown for just 6.0 yards per attempt this season — worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just 5.9 yards per dropback this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

Buccaneers WRs have 244 receptions in 14 games (17.4 per game) this season — best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 24.9 receptions per game this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Buccaneers have thrown for 20+ yards on 41 of 623 attempts this season — third-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have gone three and out on 23.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. Cardinals have forced three and outs on 25% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — third-best in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 65% of the time (1,355 Pass Attempts/2,094 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (367 carries/1,141 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cardinals converted first downs on 36 of 102 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Cardinals have gone for two on 28% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

The Cardinals went three and out on 46% of their drives in Week 15 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 24% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in Week 15 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Buccaneers’ opponents attempted 40.0 passes per game last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 34.4.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Cardinals defense sacked opponents 7 times in Week 15 — tied for most in NFL.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 34 first down receptions on passes when they have pressured the QB this season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (59 completions/97 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Cardinals defense pressured opposing QBs on 39% of pass attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.