- The Browns’ 2024 preseason win total is set at 8.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Based on their second-place finish, Cleveland plays the third-hardest NFL schedule.
- Why the Browns should experience negative regression in 2024.
For the 2024 NFL season, the Browns win total sits at 8.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Cleveland enters the 2024 season fresh off a brilliant campaign. At 11-6, Cleveland finished second in a loaded AFC North despite losing Nick Chubb for the season in Week 2.
Ultimately, Cleveland exited in the wild card round of the postseason. That marked their first playoff appearance since the 2020 season.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Cleveland’s 2024 win total.
Browns Win Total Odds
The Browns’ season win total is set at 8.5 games.
Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Cleveland is -140 to win nine or more games, an implied probability of 58.3%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with eight or fewer wins is +115, an implied probability of 46.5%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all AFC North teams:
- Baltimore Ravens: 10.5 Wins
- Cincinnati Bengals: 10.5 Wins
- Cleveland Browns: 8.5 Wins
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 Wins
Browns Win Total Prediction 2024
Browns Under 8.5 Wins (+115)
This is a shocking number to me, given the Browns’ overwhelming fortune last season.
Although they won 11 games, it came against an expected win-loss record of 9.4-7.6, according to pro-football-reference.com.
Additionally, Cleveland finished 5-0 in games decided by three points or less and 6-2 in games decided by a touchdown or fewer.
History suggests those games are coin-flip decisions, so natural regression should be expected from the Browns.
Plus, this team is going to play a radically harder schedule in the 2024-25 season.
Based on opposing win totals, the Browns possess the third-hardest schedule this season. Only the Steelers and Patriots have more difficult slates.
Granted, all of that happened in a season where Deshaun Watson played only five full games.
Cleveland also possessed one of the league’s best defenses and surrendered the fewest points per game at home.
But this is simultaneously a team that allowed the most points per game away from home. This season, they’ll play a majority of games on the road.
As a result, I’ll take the plus money available to me and bank on the Browns experiencing some regression.
Browns Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 8.5 | -140 | +115 |
| Week 2 | 8.5 | +120 | -145 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Week 4 | 6.5 | -130 | +110 |
Most Wins in Browns History
The Browns’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 12. Cleveland posted a 12-4 record in 1986 but lost in the AFC Championship Game.
They’re one of 12 NFL teams that have never won a Super Bowl.
Fewest Wins in Browns History
The Browns’ franchise record for the fewest regular-season wins is zero. Cleveland went 0-16 in the 2017 campaign.
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