Commanders vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:00 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Indianapolis.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Commanders vs. Colts Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Commanders+3 -11539.5 -110+120
Colts -3 -10539.5 -110-145

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 8 game with 71.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 8 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Commanders

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Jonathan Taylor +450
    Nyheim Hines +900
    Michael Pittman +1000
    Antonio Gibson +1100
    Cole Turner

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Commanders

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Jonathan Taylor -150
    Brian Robinson +120
    Antonio Gibson +175
    Nyheim Hines +175
    Terry McLaurin +180

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Colts vs Commanders

    Player Name Over Under
    Jonathan Taylor 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
    Nyheim Hines 17.5 -115 17.5 -115
    Parris Campbell 34.5 -115 34.5 -115
    Mo Alie-Cox 9.5 -110 9.5 -120
    Kylen Granson 13.5 -120 13.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Colts vs Commanders

    Player Name Over Under
    Nyheim Hines 6.5 -125 6.5 -105
    Brian Robinson Jr. 55.5 -120 55.5 -110
    Jonathan Taylor 73.5 -120 73.5 -115
    Sam Ehlinger 25.5 -115 25.5 -115
    Taylor Heinicke 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

    • are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -5.63% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI

    Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-4 (-1.35 Units / -17.88% ROI).

    • are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.78% ROI
    • are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
    • are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI

    Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

    The Commanders are undefeated (5-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .540.

    The Commanders are 3-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 14 times this season — second-most in NFL.

    The Commanders are 3-9 (.250) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .634.

    The Commanders are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

    Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

    The Colts are winless (0-2-1) when playing in warm weather this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

    The Colts are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .271.

    The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

    The Colts are 10-4-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Indianapolis Colts

    The Colts have run successful plays on just 35.8% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. Commanders have allowed successful plays on just 37.1% of rush attempts this season — second-best in NFL.

    Colts TEs have 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 14 receiving touchdowns this season — second-most in NFL.

    Colts WRs have been targeted 164 times this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Commanders have allowed an average of 25.5 fantasy points per game to WRs this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    Commanders RBs have averaged just 1.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 1.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — second-best in NFL.

    The Commanders have thrown for just 6.6 yards per attempt on passes up the middle this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 6.7 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

    The Commanders are 3-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 14 times this season — second-most in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Commanders have run successful plays on 28% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Commanders have run successful plays on 24% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Commanders have started 11 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — most in NFL.

    The Commanders have run 25% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Colts threw the ball 33% of the time (33 Pass Attempts/99 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    The Colts have gone three and out 9 times in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

    The Colts have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Colts have run 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Commanders defense has allowed first downs on just 29% of plays on 3rd down this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Commanders defense has allowed 7.0 TDs per interception (14 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

    The Commanders defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 19% (3 completions/16 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

    The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 43.6 on 3rd and short (47 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 100.5.

    The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of just 47.5 on 3rd and short (36 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

    The Colts defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 36 of 202 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) this season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.