Cowboys vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17, TNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:16 PM
  • The Titans (7-8) are -19.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys (11-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Dallas Cowboys (11-4) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (7-8) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Nashville for Thursday Night Football.

The Titans are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Titans Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys+19.5 -11040.5 -110-500
Titans -19.5 -11040.5 -110+360

Cowboys vs. Titans Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 17 game with 82.0% confidence.

Cowboys vs Titans Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 17 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Titans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Cowboys

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Ezekiel Elliott +600
Tony Pollard +600
Derrick Henry +700
CeeDee Lamb +900
Hassan Haskins +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Cowboys

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Ezekiel Elliott -110
Derrick Henry -105
Tony Pollard +105
CeeDee Lamb +155
Hassan Haskins +190
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 9-6 (+2.35 Units / 14.29% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 15.42% ROI
  • Cowboys are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 8-6 (+1.2 Units / 7.21% ROI).

  • Titans are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -13.19% ROI
  • Titans are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Titans are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Cowboys are winless (0-1) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.

The Cowboys are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .516.

The Cowboys are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .438.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Titans are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.

The Titans are 3-6 (.333) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .409.

The Titans are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have scored on 15.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 18.2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — second-best in NFL.

The Titans have scored on 18% of their drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 26.1% of opponent drives in the second half this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Titans have run just 38.5% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — second-worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to run just 38.4% of plays in their territory this season — best in NFL.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 56.2% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 13 — best in NFL. Titans have allowed successful plays on 58.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 54.5% of pass attempts since Week 13 — second-best in NFL. Titans have allowed successful plays on 52.9% of pass attempts since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have thrown for 20+ yards on 16 of 134 attempts since Week 13 — fourth-best in NFL. The Titans allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 50% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Cowboys have started 24 drives inside opposing territory this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys have scored on 45% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Titans have scored on 18% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Titans are averaging 17.3 drives per TD in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Titans have run 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Titans have gone three and out 18 times in the 3rd quarter this season — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Cowboys defense has forced 19 fumbles this season — tied for most in NFL.

Only 38% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys defense allowed 7 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 16 — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense allowed 7 completions for 20+ yards in Week 16 — most in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

Offenses facing the Titans have thrown the ball 61% of the time (1,226 Pass Attempts/2,017 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Titans defense has allowed 296.1 receiving yards per game (4,441/15) this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 237.0.

The Titans defense has allowed 279.6 passing yards per game (4,194/15) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 221.0.

The Titans defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 7 times since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.